Micron's HBM cycle: can AI memory change the boom-bust math?
A Micron five-year double thesis focused on HBM demand, DRAM/NAND cycle discipline, capital intensity, and whether AI memory improves through-cycle economics.
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Micron: AI memory scarcity is rewriting the cycle
A refreshed Micron Technology thesis using latest official May 2026 data, Q2 FY2026 results, HBM4 production, AI server memory demand, data-center mix, U.S. manufacturing updates, capex, balance-sheet strength, and cycle risk.
OpenRocket Lab: space-systems growth still has to clear the cash-burn and scale-up test
Rocket Lab reported FY2025 revenue of $601.8 million, Q1 2026 revenue of $200.3 million, a FY2025 net loss of $198.2 million and $1.2 billion of cash. The thesis depends on launch cadence, space systems demand, Neutron investment, operating leverage, cash burn
OpenBA: Boeing's recovery is real only if cash flow follows the backlog
Boeing is a globally strategic aerospace franchise with FY2025 revenue of $89.5 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $22.2 billion, but the investment case still turns on production discipline, safety oversight, defense charges and recurring cash generation.
OpenAerCap: the aircraft shortage is paying twice
AerCap is using tight aircraft supply to produce record earnings, asset-sale gains and buybacks. The upside is real, but the model still runs on leverage, airline customer health and aircraft residual values.
OpenArcher Aviation: $1.8 billion of runway chasing the air-taxi certification clock
Archer has enough liquidity to make the eVTOL race worth watching, but the filings still show a pre-revenue aircraft company burning cash while certification, manufacturing, launch operations, conditional orders, and IP fights decide whether Midnight becomes a
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