Advanced Flower Capital Inc. (AFCG)
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CAT: Caterpillar's moat is the dealer network, but the cycle still matters
Caterpillar reported FY2025 revenue of $67.6 billion, FY2025 operating income of $11.2 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $17.4 billion. The thesis is dealer-network strength, margin durability and cash generation through an industrial cycle.
OpenDE: Deere is a farm-cycle quality test
Deere reported FY2025 revenue of $45.7 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $9.6 billion. The thesis depends on farm-cycle demand, precision technology, dealer discipline, margins and financing credit quality.
OpenAFCG: the BDC conversion only matters if the cannabis workout works
Advanced Flower Capital's first quarter as a BDC showed dividend-covering NII and higher NAV, but three nonaccrual loans still represented 36.6% of amortized cost and 23.5% of fair value.
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