Affirm Holdings, Inc. (AFRM)
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Tesla's next double: energy, autonomy, and the auto-margin reset
A Tesla five-year double thesis focused on energy storage, auto margin recovery, autonomy evidence, robotics optionality, and valuation discipline.
OpenTesla: the EV profit engine now has to prove autonomy and energy can offset car-cycle pressure
Tesla reported 2025 revenue of $94.8 billion and Q1 2026 revenue of $22.4 billion. The thesis depends on vehicle demand, pricing, margins, energy storage scale, autonomy claims, cash generation and capital discipline.
OpenAFRM: the checkout lender that just turned profitable and still has to earn the credit cycle
Affirm is scaling GMV and has moved into GAAP operating profitability, but the stock thesis still depends on credit discipline, funding access, partner concentration, regulation and whether Card, wallets and international expansion preserve unit economics.
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