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Aeroméxico has premium demand, loyalty scale and record-margin evidence after its U.S. listing, but the Delta JCA, MEX constraints, fuel, FX, engine issues and a negative equity balance sheet make the setup high risk.
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AerCap is using tight aircraft supply to produce record earnings, asset-sale gains and buybacks. The upside is real, but the model still runs on leverage, airline customer health and aircraft residual values.
OpenArch is not hard to like after an 81.7% combined ratio, $1.0 billion of Q1 net income, and $783 million of buybacks. The harder question is whether reserves, catastrophe losses, mortgage credit, and reinsurance pricing stay friendly enough for that capital mac
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