ASML's bottleneck advantage: can EUV scarcity still compound?
An ASML five-year double thesis focused on EUV scarcity, High-NA adoption, China/export-control risk, bookings visibility, and semiconductor capex cycles.
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Broadcom's AI cash-flow test: custom chips, Ethernet, and VMware
A Broadcom five-year double thesis focused on custom AI silicon, Ethernet networking, VMware free cash flow, customer concentration, and integration risk.
OpenBloom Energy's data-center power bet: huge demand, thin margin of safety
A Bloom Energy five-year double thesis focused on data-center distributed power, fuel-cell economics, backlog quality, margins, cash flow, and execution risk.
OpenConstellation's AI power thesis: nuclear scarcity meets data-center demand
A Constellation five-year double thesis focused on clean firm power scarcity, nuclear fleet value, data-center PPAs, regulation, and acquisition execution.
OpenCRISPR Therapeutics: CASGEVY launch, pipeline proof, and binary risk
A CRISPR Therapeutics five-year double thesis focused on CASGEVY commercialization, cash runway, in-vivo pipeline proof, clinical risk, and dilution discipline.
OpenMicrosoft's AI return test: Azure, Copilot, and capex discipline
A Microsoft five-year double thesis focused on Azure AI demand, Copilot monetization, enterprise distribution, capital intensity, and regulatory risk.
OpenMicron's HBM cycle: can AI memory change the boom-bust math?
A Micron five-year double thesis focused on HBM demand, DRAM/NAND cycle discipline, capital intensity, and whether AI memory improves through-cycle economics.
OpenNVIDIA's next five years: can AI earnings outrun valuation risk?
A filing-led NVDA five-year double thesis focused on data-center demand, CUDA lock-in, networking attach, margin durability, and valuation risk.
OpenTesla's next double: energy, autonomy, and the auto-margin reset
A Tesla five-year double thesis focused on energy storage, auto margin recovery, autonomy evidence, robotics optionality, and valuation discipline.
OpenTSMC's AI foundry test: growth, capex, and geopolitical risk
A TSMC five-year double thesis focused on advanced-node foundry leadership, advanced packaging, AI customer demand, capex, margins, and Taiwan risk.
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