Assured Guaranty Ltd. (AGO)
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C: Citi's global scale only works if simplification lifts returns
Citigroup is a globally important bank with FY2025 revenue of $85.2 billion, Q1 2026 revenue of $24.6 billion and $1.45 trillion of deposits, but the thesis depends on deposit stability, credit, capital and simplification execution.
OpenBAC: the deposit machine is strong, but rates and credit still write the script
Bank of America reported FY2025 revenue of $113.1 billion, FY2025 net income of $30.5 billion and Q1 2026 net income of $8.6 billion. The thesis is deposit durability, capital discipline and credit quality through the rate cycle.
OpenAGO: a $279B guaranty book with a Puerto Rico tail
Assured Guaranty is a financial guaranty insurer with Q1 2026 new-business growth, record adjusted book value per share and a long buyback record, but the equity case still depends on ratings strength, insured-credit losses, PREPA and disciplined capital alloc
OpenAGBK: the profitable Brazil bank whose growth depends on one regulatory gate
AGI Inc came public with Banco Agibank scale, 7.1 million active clients, a R$35.5 billion credit portfolio and post-IPO capital strength, but the thesis turns on INSS access, credit quality, funding spreads and founder-controlled governance.
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